Archive for October, 2009

Samui property market at a turning point -16.08.2009

Monday, October 5th, 2009

Samui property market at a turning point

Things look like they are about to bounce back

 
 

Not very long ago, Koh Samui’s property market was roaring ahead with promises of great riches for those who invested in the island. Although conditions have changed markedly over the past three years, the market has now reached a turning point and an adjustment is pending, says Yongyuth Chaipromprasert, CEO of the Aquarius Estate Company.

SUCCESS STORY: The Casavela condominium by Aquarius, now being operated as an hotel, received a good response from its initial purchasers and units are now changing hands at a premium over the original prices.

With his finger on the pulse of the island’s property market after the hugely successful development of the Casavela condominium, which his company now operates as the Shasa Hotel, Mr Yongyuth said the market peaked between 2004 to 2006 when many new projects were launched.

However, from that point on, a host of problems dragged this foreign-dominated market down, notably stricter application of laws against foreigners using local nominees to buy property and transfers of money to do so. A number of scandals related to fraudulently acquired land titles ensued, while national political instability affected the investment climate as well.

“These problems dragged on for two to three years, they didn’t just suddenly crop up,” says Mr Yongyuth.

Research by Aquarius shows that there are only 17 major ongoing projects – 10 condominiums and seven villa developments – on the island. The figure excludes some small developments, some of dubious legal standing.

“Our count shows that the condos in the 10 projects only total 380 units, while the villas in the seven projects are 111 in all,” he said.

Mr Yongyuth said sales were weak as many of the projects are just getting started and foreign buyers in any case are very cautious these days.

The situation is totally different at Casavela where all of the 22 units that Aquarius planned to sell have changed hands, with the company holding 10 others as revenue-generating properties. The resale prices are as high as 130,000 baht per square metre, compared to the initial price of 80,000 to 90,000 baht.

Mr Yongyuth plans another project similar to Casavela but says it probably will be on Phuket. However, the soonest it could be launched would be the middle of next year because the company is busy building and marketing its AeQua luxury condominium on Sukhumvit Soi 49 in Bangkok. “AeQua ties up 1.3 billion baht and we have to watch our cash flow.”

Despite the choppy economic conditions, AeQua has fared well with 80% of the 150 units sold so far. Almost all the buyers are Thai with foreigners only having taken three to four units.

While his company is sailing smoothly, Mr Yongyuth admitted some others might not make it through the next year or so. “The reality of business is that some will fail. Even in normal circumstances some don’t succeed so why wouldn’t there be any that don’t in these circumstances?”

Even so, the tough environment does not mean developers are not working, but they are focusing more on how best to proceed. Mr Yongyuth explained that in order to ensure success these days, a developer should reduce the amount of risk he usually takes by 20% while also putting in 20% to 30% more capital. One also might have to sell at a lower price and this goes down the chain with suppliers too having to accept lower profit margins. However, all businesses are helped by the current low lending rates.

In comparing Bangkok and the resort markets, he observed that the former is up to 80% Thai with foreigners either buying units in the secondary market or in projects they develop and sell among themselves. Buyers in Samui and Phuket are mainly foreigners with Thais not having bought more than 5% of luxury condos and villas on the bigger island.

QUIETLY OPTIMISTIC: Yongyuth Chaipromprasert, Aquarius’ CEO.

This means it is necessary to make an effort to bring foreign buyers back in order to ensure that the two islands boom once again.

Mr Yongyuth’s experience in handling both groups of buyers also shows that foreigners are a lot fussier than Thais when buying property. However this could reflect the risk of making a big purchase in alien territory and not knowing the developers, amid fears of being cheated. While this is generally the case, most foreigners do move on once the deal is done and do not make continuous demands.

Because Mr Yongyuth travels by air at least twice a month, he knows how the closure of the airports affected the mood of travellers. People started moving through the airport quickly, without any display of joviality. It was only during the four-day break last month that he again saw happy tourists taking photographs at various spots in the airport and stopping to buy sweets and magazines as they did before.

This all boils down to the difficult political situation, and as Mr Yongyuth sees it, those in charge now need to focus on how to create lasting stability and tranquility instead of short-term gamesmanship.

“There is no instance where the winner gets 100% and the loser loses 100%. Those who are winning have to consider the losers too and the losers shouldn’t be driven to lashing back,” he says. “Share and divide and give each other and don’t kill one another completely. It’s not like Chinese society where vendettas drag on for seven generations.”

Foreigners ‘own 90% of Phuket beach land’ – 24/08/2009

Monday, October 5th, 2009

Foreigners ‘own 90% of Phuket beach land’

Report says land grab rife in tourist spots


About 90% of beach land in Phuket is controlled by foreigners through Thai nominees, a leading research body has found.

A similar situation exists in other prime tourism destinations in provinces such as Chiang Mai and Rayong.

Local officials and legal experts have helped clear the way for foreign investors to take control of the country’s rice farms and property in resort provinces, according to research on foreign land ownership by the Thailand Research Fund.

TRF called a seminar on the research findings yesterday attended by economics and legal scholars.

There recently has been speculation that foreign businessmen, particularly from the Middle East, were snapping up rice fields in the central plains and elsewhere through proxy local companies.

Transnational business consortiums were said to be holding the land through Thai nominees, which is against the law.

Some farmers are leasing land they previously owned but have since sold to the foreigners’ proxy firms, observers said.

Siriporn Sajjanont, from the economics faculty at Sukhothai Thammathirat Open University and a member of the research team, said the study showed many kinds of property had been bought by foreigners through Thai nominees.

“About 90% of land along the coastline in Phuket is controlled by foreigners through Thai nominees,” she said.

Foreign investment capital was essential for developing Phuket and Samui, as Thais do not have enough money to invest themselves, Ms Siriporn said.

The coastal areas most sought after by foreign investors were Pattaya in Chon Buri, Koh Phangan and Koh Samui in Surat Thani, Phuket and Hua Hin in Prachuap Khiri Khan.

In Chiang Mai, foreigners had used legal loopholes to exceed the limit on sales of condominium units, Ms Siriporn said.

There was evidence they hold the property through Thai nominees by marrying Thais. In some cases, Thai women were asked to register the foreigners’ property in their own names.

The study found similar problems in Rayong involving foreign landholdings through Thai nominees with foreigners marrying Thais.

In some land lease cases, the period of leasehold was unusually long, Ms Siriporn said. The study found that some lease contracts stated the leasehold was “for life”.

Land ownership by foreigners had been made possible by their Thai lawyers who had found legal loopholes to clear the way for foreigners to take control, the research found.

Village heads also had acted as land brokers to arrange sales of state land given to local people so they could make a living, the panellists said.

Village heads were close to residents and knew which prime land was available.

Some legal entities had been set up with 51% of shares held by Thais, although those Thais turned out to be mere legal advisers for foreigners and had no power to run the legal entities, Ms Siriporn said.

“We also found the same people had set up many entities,” she said.

Some entities’ regulations on shareholding structures allowed foreign shareholders more power than Thais in running those entities.

Col Surin Pikulthong, president of the Community Organisations Development Institute, said he had received information that Hmong people in the US had provided financial support for Hmong in Nan province to buy land and grow rice for shipment to the US.

Silaporn Buasai, vice-president of the institute, said she had heard that investors from Taiwan had bought land here for growing oranges to be sold in Taiwan.

Wichian Phuanglamjiak, vice-president of the Thai Rice Growers’ Association, said rice farmers held additional information on land grabs by foreign investors.

He said the problem had remained unaddressed for too long and no state agency had taken the matter seriously.

Mr Wichian said farmers were pinning their hopes on the Department of Special Investigation to pursue the matter.

DSI investigator Pakorn Sucheevakul on Saturday said the agency was investigating four Thai companies in Ayutthaya which own rice farms of almost 10,000 rai.

Malee Antasin, 59, a farmer in Ayutthaya’s Bang Ban district, said businessmen had bought many plots in her village since 1995.

She said she had felt “besieged” and pressured to sell her rice plot as her land had been enclosed by other plots owned by those investors. She was now taking the matter to court.

Springtime for housing markets – 23/08/2009

Monday, October 5th, 2009

Springtime for housing markets

After a very weak first three months of this year, local demand is spurring sales of condos in Bangkok and other Asian cities


After 12 months of significant change in global property markets, the green shoots of recovery are now appearing around Asia, but it is local buyers rather than international investors who are driving the markets forward, says James Pitchon, executive director of CB Richard Ellis (CBRE) in Thailand.

CONFIDENT: James Pitchon says local buyers are driving the market.

This welcome improvement in Asia comes after very poor lending practices in US residential property market triggered the global problems. Prices fell dramatically in some markets, such as Spain and the US. In Asia, it was Singapore that was worst affected by dwindling values – mainly because it had witnessed steep price increases.

“But one characteristic throughout Asia has been that locals are buying in their own market – Vietnamese are buying in Vietnam, Thais are buying in Thailand and Shanghainese in Shanghai so that is the Asian theme,” said Mr Pitchon.

Where Thailand is concerned, it had been expected that even without the impact of the global financial crisis, 2009 would be a stress test for the property market because of a big jump in the supply of central Bangkok condominiums.

Research by CBRE shows that as many as 10,000 units are due to be completed this year, taking the current supply in the central area to 68,000 units.

Mr Pitchon warned that with this many units coming onstream it is yet to be seen whether developers will make significant moves to clear their inventory. It is also not fully clear how many of these units were sold to end-users who are ready to move in, as opposed to investors who plan to rent them out or speculators who plan to flip them for profit. The two latter groups may not have sufficient financial resources to complete these transactions.

“That is the story unfolding. Property markets do not move like stock markets – they are more like oil tankers and it takes a long time for them to change direction.”

After very weak demand during the first three months of this year with the Bangkok condominium market stuck because there were so few transactions, there was more activity after Songkran. However, this was driven by local demand, similar to the rest of Asia.

“In the luxury sector, an area we specialise in, 80% of the new buyers are Thai, whereas before up to 50% of the purchasers would be foreigners. So we have seen a very distinct change in purchaser profile,” said Mr Pitchon.

Although every development is different, Mr Pitchon has observed that some luxury projects, particularly those approaching completion or just completed, have slashed prices by 10 to 20% from what had been listed. “And local buyers seem to accept that; they believe that this discount is sufficient and prices are not going to fall further. In fact, some buyers feel that we may already be at the bottom of the market.”

However, the market is also being buffeted by speculators having to resell their units. While foreign speculators have no possibility to borrow money, Thai dabblers can still apply for loans to pay the remaining 70%.

The impact of this resale surge could drag on because it takes up to 12 months for developers to transfer all the units in a completed project as they usually have to rectify some of them.

A shadow still lingers amid these early signs of improvement, in the form of a drop in new project launches this year. Mr Pitchon expects this situation to continue, at least in the luxury sector, until the existing inventory has been cleared.

“It’s not possible for me to put a precise date on it but I think we are looking at a 12- to 18-month period of market consolidation while we see units under construction completed and filled up.”

He said that those who are hoping that the Thai market will fall as steeply as in Spain or Florida will be disappointed.

“Our ‘boom’ was much more subdued than in many other countries. Our prices did not inflate as much, and so Bangkok has not been as badly affected as other markets by the global financial crisis.”

It is also unlikely that Thais will look to Singapore and buy property at much lower prices there because there are still capital restrictions in place and it is easier to manage property in a market one is familiar with.

Mr Pitchon then remarked that resort markets are very different from Bangkok, being almost totally driven by foreign demand.

“First of all, the big difference between Phuket and Samui is that almost all the buyers – 95% – are traditionally foreigners buying a holiday home, very much a discretionary purchase.

“Also different is the way these projects were funded. The downpayments were much greater; in some cases up to 80% or 90% of the purchase price was paid in downpayment.

“What we are seeing is that what had been sold in Phuket and Samui has been built. But at present we are seeing very little in the way of new sales and we are not seeing existing property being sold at substantial discounts.

“So the market has really come to a halt in these places, whereas the Bangkok market has two sources of demand – foreign and Thai.”

Another encouraging sign for Bangkok is that developers are now less rigid in their pricing and have adjusted prices to levels that create sales, which has had the effect of significantly improving demand.”So I don’t expect that we will see the Bangkok market crash,” said Mr Ptichon, adding that the supply is concentrated in the city centre, but overall the supply of new condominiums is still significantly less throughout Bangkok compared to 1996 and 1997.